BracketIQ Insights
Predicted champion
Arizona
Best Final Four profile
Arizona
High-volatility team
Duke
Champion Probability
0.0%
Final Four Favorite
Arizona
Upset Alert
Duke
Tracked Teams
0
Final Four Command Board
Key insights
01
Seeds matter, but seed alone is not enough.
02
Adjusted efficiency, résumé, and balance separate contenders from pretenders.
03
We simulate the bracket because one bracket path should never stand in for a probability distribution.
Title Odds Table
| Team | Seed | Region | AdjEM | Off | Def | Final Four | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 1 | West | 37.7 | 127.7 | 90.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Florida | 1 | Midwest | 33.8 | 125.5 | 91.7 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Michigan | 1 | South | 37.6 | 126.6 | 89.0 | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Duke | 1 | East | 38.9 | 128.0 | 89.1 | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Illinois | 3 | East | 32.1 | 131.2 | 99.1 | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Houston | 2 | Midwest | 33.4 | 124.9 | 91.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Iowa St. | 2 | South | 32.4 | 123.8 | 91.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| North Carolina | 6 | East | 20.8 | 121.4 | 100.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% |